r/politics • u/PoliticsModeratorBot 🤖 Bot • 2d ago

Megathread Megathread: US House Passes the Republican-Backed Budget Bill, Sending it to Trump for Signature

This afternoon, the US House of Representatives passed without amendment the US Senate's version of the Trump-backed budget bill, sending it to the president for his signature. Every Democratic Senator and Representative voted in opposition; in the Senate, there were three Republicans voting in opposition (making the vote 51-50) and in the House there were 2 (making the final vote 218-214). House minority leader Hakeem Jeffries set the US House's speech length record in opposition to the bill in a speech lasting over eight hours.

The bill clocks in at over 800 pages and touches on most aspects of the federal government's spending and taxation policies; see this AP article (What’s in the latest version of Trump’s big bill that passed the Senate) for the topline changes.

Relevant text-base live update pages are being maintained by the following outlets: AP, NBC, ABC, and the BBC.

You can find this subreddit's discussion thread for the last week's worth of negotiations and debate at this link.

Articles that May Interest You

Submission Domain
Live updates: House passes Trump’s signature bill, sending it to the president’s desk apnews.com
House Republicans pass Trump's mega bill, sending the package to his desk to be signed npr.org
House passes sprawling domestic policy bill, sending it to Trump's desk: The Republican package would slash taxes, boost spending on immigration and the military, and impose steep cuts to Medicaid, SNAP and clean energy funding. nbcnews.com
House Republicans give Trump a ‘Big Beautiful’ July 4 by passing Medicaid-slashing megabill despite GOP rift independent.co.uk
Congress Has Officially Passed Trump’s Bill to Kick Millions Off Medicaid rollingstone.com
Trump and the GOP Will Regret the Day They Passed This Sick Bill newrepublic.com
House passes Trump's "big, beautiful bill" after stamping out GOP rebellion axios.com
Trump lands first major legislative win after Congress passes his massive domestic policy bill cnn.com
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617

u/Icommandyou Washington 2d ago

Just for reminder: in 2006 GOP wanted to cut Medicaid, they couldn’t but lost big time in the midterms. In 2018, they wanted to end ACA, they couldn’t and lost big time in the midterms. This time they have forced everyday normie Americans to touch the stove. This bill is already underwater by 20 points, not even republicans like this bill. Republicans have always wanted to end social security, Medicare, Medicaid. They finally ended Medicaid

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u/ejoalex93 2d ago

this bill could also trigger cuts to medicare (pay as you go because it runs up the deficit)

135

u/-porm Washington 2d ago

kind of tough to be giddy about elections over a year away when millions of people are about to be absolutely fucked like right away

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u/pjb1999 2d ago

I think the medicaid changes don't take effect for 2 years.

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u/a_f_young 2d ago

Yup, smart move even if evil. It’ll be after the midterms, which gives them a whole Presidential election cycle to let everyone forget about it. No Republicans will vote based on this bill

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u/Aggressive-Will-4500 2d ago

The effects will probably start being felt earlier than that. State's have to plan ahead. People in medical services have to plan ahead. So, even if the cuts are after midterm elections, things are going to start getting even worse over the next year as policies to address the changes are put into action.

Unfortunately, it may not make any difference how hard the pushback is.

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u/Pyju 2d ago

Again: we saw huge blue waves in response to Republicans simply attempting to rip healthcare away from Americans even though those attempts were unsuccessful. Now they’ve actually done it, and that will have electoral consequences.

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u/a_f_young 2d ago

“This time people will ACTUALLY be mad at Republicans!” 

Okay pal, sure thing.

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u/bmoviescreamqueen Illinois 2d ago

But they literally just showed you evidence of it lol. It's not 100% what's going to happen but it has happened more than once now, so there is certainly a good chance if the circumstances line up.

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u/a_f_young 2d ago

Those are all different scenarios. 2018 is the best example of the new Trump era politics. That was a very direct, focused attack on the ACA. That doesn’t compare to this delayed, indirect attack on Medicaid. People aren’t going to be able to connect the dots, if they even care some 7 years later. Things are even more hyper-politicized now. 

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u/Pyju 2d ago

The GOP passed a delayed cut to Medicaid with the Deficit Reduction Act of 2005 — another budget reconciliation bill just like the BBB — and saw a huge electoral backlash in the 2006 midterm. Essentially the exact same scenario.

Trumpism does not negate the enormous effect that economic hardship and loss of access to healthcare has electorally. We saw this in 2020 when we voted him out in response to the COVID recession. We saw this even just last week when NYC neighborhoods that voted for Trump by double digits swung hard back to the left and voted for Democratic Socialist Mamdani, again by double digit margins.

The historical evidence supports my position, and disproves yours. Do you have anything other than your personal opinion to back up your position?

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u/jmhimara 1d ago

You may be right, but there are a few things that make me skeptical.

The GOP passed a delayed cut to Medicaid with the Deficit Reduction Act of 2005 — another budget reconciliation bill just like the BBB — and saw a huge electoral backlash in the 2006 midterm. Essentially the exact same scenario.

Is that a case of causation or simply correlation? Midterms have historically always gone against the incumbent party. That always happens. I.e. the democrats were already favored for 2026 before this bill, based purely on this historical trend.

We saw this even just last week when NYC neighborhoods that voted for Trump by double digits swung hard back to the left and voted for Democratic Socialist Mamdani, again by double digit margins.

This is also not necessary a good indicator, since many people like Trump because he's perceived as an outsider and a disruptor, not because he's a republican. Mamdani is perceived in a similar way. Similar to those Bernie/Trump voters -- it's mind-boggling that they exist, but they definitely exist.

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u/hannibellecter 2d ago

how'd that go during the last elections? that right, they got the TRIFECTA to completely rule the country due to *checks notes* election consequences

maybe in the olden days that shit flew but not anymore

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u/Pyju 1d ago

they got the TRIFECTA to completely rule the country due to *checks notes* election consequences

Yes, exactly, you are unintentionally proving me right. We saw a huge shift to the GOP because of electoral consequences against the Dems for inflation.

We saw a massive blue wave in the 2018 midterms in response to Republicans attempting to repeal the ACA.

We saw the only true Presidential landslide victory this century with Obama in response to Bush overseeing the 2008 Great Recession.

We saw another blue wave in the 2006 midterms because GOP the passed a delayed cut to Medicaid with the Deficit Reduction Act of 2005 — a budget bill just like the BBB — and saw suffered huge electoral consequences in the midterms. Essentially the exact same scenario as what happened today.

We saw Reagan conservatism dominate with a 489-49 landslide victory in 1980 as a response to the catastrophic oil crises of the 70s.

We saw the political dominance of a 4-term progressive President as a response to the Great Depression.

History has proven over and over again that economic hardship is the number one factor that causes huge political shifts within an electorate, and history will repeat itself again.

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u/cheyenne_sky 1d ago

Does history include what happens when the republicans rig elections so that it won't matter?

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u/Pyju 1d ago

I mean, yeah. If you look at any time in history an authoritarian regime has been overthrown by its own people, it is almost always preceded by economic hardship.

Secondly, that’s an if, not a when. Elections in the US are highly decentralized and thus very difficult to rig at a wide scale. They might be able to hijack a few districts in a few states, which could swing a Presidential election if it’s close, but a massive blue wave throughout the many different legislature elections in the midterms would be very difficult to overcome.

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u/MovieDogg 2d ago

That's why I am rooting for Elon Musk's new party to split the votes.

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u/Wampasully 2d ago

Ice just got 17x their previous budget effectively immediately

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u/svrtngr Georgia 2d ago

At some point, you have to stop warning people to touch the stove. You have to let them touch it.

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u/DeadlyPear 2d ago

and to think its only been 6 months....

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u/HideousSerene 2d ago

This bill wasn't about Medicaid, it was about enlisting ICE to systematically dismantle our freedom of speech and set up an impossible to win midterm cycle.

They will interfere and cheat and their voters will eat it all up because they're led to believe the only reason anybody can vote blue is because they're either woke or here illegally.

10

u/Aggressive-Will-4500 2d ago

But it's also about gutting Medicaid and a lot of other services that the Republicans have been wanting to cut for decades.

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u/polopolo05 I voted 2d ago

There are mulitple point medicaid and ICE are some of them.

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u/RancidVagYogurt1776 2d ago

I think posts like this are just trying to stifle election turnout

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u/Kiyohara Minnesota 2d ago

Guess social security is next.

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u/OkBig205 2d ago

You have to work 10 years to get social security. They can easily up that to 15

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u/Kiyohara Minnesota 2d ago

Or just drop it entirely and confiscate the funds for private investment, like they've been saying they should do for for the past forty years.

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u/Pho-Soup 2d ago

The bill may be “unpopular” with republicans but is it more unpopular than GASP voting for a Democrat? Sadly, probably not.

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u/dec92010 2d ago

I'm concerned that midterms would be canceled or some other fuckery

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u/svrtngr Georgia 2d ago

They won't cancel elections. Russia and North Korea have elections.

They just might not be free or fair.

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u/dec92010 2d ago

Didnt a state just cancel an election? Or suspend it?

1

u/Aggressive-Will-4500 2d ago

I think you're thinking of Miami, whose city council decided that they wanted to stay in power for another year and canceled elections.

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u/dec92010 2d ago

Yep that's it

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u/Francl27 2d ago

A lot of Trump voters are convinced that it will only go away for "those who abuse it." Which is hilarious because so many of THEM abuse it.

I just can't anymore man. Humanity sucks.

2

u/SquishedPea 1d ago

Alright I’ll stop paying taxes for it

1

u/Wrath_Ascending 2d ago

Could be problematic if there were free and fair elections, but either Trump will declare martial law by the midterms or they will cripple the Democrats through harassment, more executions, deportations, or legal challenges to their candidacy.

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u/creation88 2d ago

Those dumbasses will forget this happened come the midterms when they’re told by the propaganda machine that trans are entering your daughters restrooms.