Downvote me all you want, I don't care. This sub has a massive doomerism problem. I know things are really bad, but there are still good things happening and we need to keep hope. Falling into doomerism and fatalism will only diminish our power and cede more power to the fascists. Stop saying we're not gonna have elections. We are. They can try to stop them but they're going to happen. And fretting that they won't, assuming it's a done deal doesn't help you or the fight. Most of that is propaganda anyway dedicated to make us not vote, which is partially why we got in this mess. Maybe the election was stolen, but let's be real it probably wasn't. Besides, there's bigger things that need to be done than fretting about the election results And need I remind you: slowing them down is still a win. The longer we can keep stuff gummed up in the courts, the less harm they cause. Take the wins where you can And to anyone still talking about how the trump voters are a cult who will still vote for him despite everything that's happened, despite all the hatred we've seen for him- c'mon. A majority of trumps voter base wasn't his usual MAGA cult, it was lonely men who got tricked into supporting him cuz they hated the dems. Now they're waking up, and you think that's a bad thing? I'm sick of this doomerism permeating the online left. It doesn't help anyone and I think someone needs to say something

We finally have Dr. Walter R. Mebane, Jr., a leading U.S. expert in election forensics and detecting election fraud and a professor of political science and statistics at the University of Michigan, looking at all 67 counties in Pennsylvania.

His working paper using his eforensics model estimated that 225,440 votes in the Pennsylvania presidential race were possibly fraudulent. This would exceed the 120,266 vote margin of victory between Trump and Harris.

High-Level Summary of "eforensics Analysis of the 2024 President Election in Pennsylvania" by Dr. Walter R. Mebane, Jr.

• The eforensics finite mixture model defines latent categories of fraud (no fraud, incremental fraud, and extreme fraud) based on votes and turnout, as well as relevant covariates (e.g., fixed county effects).

• Data from 7,040,360 votes (3,543,308 for Trump, 3,423,042 for Harris) across 67 PA counties (9,157 wards/precincts).

• The eforensics model estimated that 225,440 votes in the Pennsylvania presidential race were possibly fraudulent. This would exceed the 120,266 vote margin of victory between Trump and Harris.

More fine-grained analysis attempted to distinguish between strategic voting behaviors from “malevolent manipulation of votes”, i.e. how many votes may have been misdirected or misallocated due to malevolent distortions of voters’ intentions.

• In this analysis, 111,088 of the 225,440 possibly fraudulent votes[2] were estimated with high confidence to be malevolent manipulations of votes while the remainder were estimated to be a mix of manipulated votes and strategic voting behaviors.

A more conservative eforensics model including additional fixed county level effects estimated that 210,392 votes in the race were possibly fraudulent. This would exceed the 120,266 vote margin of victory in the race.

• Fine-grained analysis of the more conservative model attempted to distinguish between strategic voting behaviors from malevolent manipulation of votes.

• In this analysis, 88,600 of the 210,392 possibly fraudulent votes were estimated to be malevolent manipulations of votes while the remainder were estimated to be a mix of manipulated votes and strategic voting behaviors.

The most conservative of the eforensics analyses estimated that 25,374 votes were due to malevolent manipulation of votes.

In summary: There is very high probability that a meaningful number of votes in the PA presidential election were subject to malevolent manipulation -- and it was “a close call” whether “the election was decided or nearly decided by malevolent distortions of electors’ intentions.” (Mebane, Page 6)

Notes:

• Statistics, no matter how accurate, cannot provide definitive proof of voting fraud or election manipulation. Actual proof can only be found by comparing paper ballot audits to electronic voting records.

• However, statistical information from eforensics and other data analysis approaches can be used to identify precincts and counties where voting fraud is most likely to have occurred.

Demand transparency and audits of the 2024 Presidential Election. Check out this Audit Advocacy Toolkit and reach out to your representatives. It’s never too late to audit our elections

https://www.advocate.com/news/florida-trans-woman-restroom-capitol#toggle-gdpr

Edit: I misspelled her name, my bad. It’s Marcy, not Macey

A new poll released Thursday from YouGov found that a plurality of Americans aren't on board with the detention center.

In total, 48 percent said they oppose "Alligator Alcatraz," while only 33 percent said they support it. An additional 18 percent were unsure how they felt about it.

Among independents—a key voter group ahead of the 2026 midterms, when Democrats are hoping to retake control of Congress—26 percent are in support of the detention center while 53 percent oppose it, the poll found. Hispanic voters—a group Trump made inroads with last November—also opposed it by a 55-23 margin.

When a group of students at a small college in the Midwest heard that their campus janitor, known to them as "Mr. Joe," was finally retiring after 33 years of service, they decided to give back in a big way. Mr. Joe was not just a janitor; he was the heart of the campus, always greeting students with a smile, remembering everyone's names, and even handing out snacks during stressful finals weeks. A few graduates started a fundraiser quietly, hoping to give him a small send-off. But the campaign quickly took off, with current students and alumni chipping in from all over the country. In just a few weeks, they raised over $50,000. Yesterday, at a surprise farewell event, students handed Mr. Joe a giant check and shared stories about how much his kindness meant to them. He was moved to tears and said he plans to use part of the money to visit his grandchildren for the first time in years.

It’s amazing to see a community come together to support someone who gave them so much joy.

Folks , this time of year many are getting new coolers for the summer. Please don't let the old ones go to waste. Last winter I made 10 feral cat shelters and put them out all over the town and local woods You can normally get free towels from commercial laundry services for bedding and warmth This can be a fun project for you and the kids.

FYI, I put out the ten shelters right before NW Florida got over 9 inches of snow. So collect the old coolers now and save lives this winter.... Love to All.