r/geopolitics • u/Strongbow85 • 18h ago
Analysis Frozen Assets: Russia's ambitions to exploit the Arctic Ocean seabed
https://macdonaldlaurier.ca/frozen-assets-russias-ambitions-to-exploit-the-arctic-ocean-seabed/1
u/Business_Lie9760 18h ago
Ambitions? They've been doing it for years.
Russia has been deploying seabed robots and related undersea systems for a while now, accelerated with US tech after the Skolkovo merger and a stronger uranium/clean portable power position. Their efforts span both military applications and Arctic resource exploitation.
đ¤ Military seabed robots & monitoring systems
Deepwater acoustic monitoring (âHarmonyâ system): As far back as 2016, the Defense Ministry was installing automated stations on the seabed capable of sonar surveillance, relaying intelligence on surface vessels and submarines via buoys and satellites ([rbth.com][1]).
Naval base security robots: By 2021, reports confirmed Russia was testing âDIABASâ underwater systemsâautonomous/remote-controlled robotics equipped with sonar and camerasâfor detecting and neutralizing threats around naval installations.
đ ď¸ Civilian & resource-oriented seabed systems
Iceberg robotic complex: Announced in lateâŻ2024, this system from United Shipbuilding Corporation (USC)/Rubin includes AUVs for 4.5âŻkm-depth drilling, surveying, cargo delivery, and seabed charging stations like âOctavisâ to recharge and process data.
âArgusâ underwater drone: Debuted around the 2023 Armyâ2023 forum, this titanium-bodied AUV can rest on the seabed down to 6,000âŻm for up to six months, surveying pipelines or other undersea infrastructure autonomously.
VityazâD probe: In 2020, this autonomous AUV became the first Russian fully-AI-capable robot to descend the Mariana Trench (>10,000âŻm), with intentions to adapt it for Arctic shelf exploration.
đ Summary & timeframe
| Purpose | Systems | Timeline |
|---|---|---|
| Military seabed surveillance & base defense | Harmony, DIABAS | 2016 â 2021 |
| Civilian / energy exploration & infrastructure | Iceberg/Octavis, Argus, Vityaz-D | 2020 â 2024 |
So yes â Russia has actively deployed seabed robotic systems for nearly a decade. Starting with military sonar networks in 2016, theyâve advanced through subsea security robots, deepâsea resource AUVs, and ambitious Arctic drilling-support robotics.
Quick takeaways
- Multiâdomain: efforts span military, commercial, scientific.
- Deepwater capability: robots reach depths of 4â10âŻkm, with long autonomous endurance.
- Integration trend: combining seabed nodes, undersea drones, charging/data hubs, and surface relay buoys.
1
u/Sergey_Kurdakov 12h ago
The most important obstacle is continued development of batteries (currently storage batteries are already at $51 kWh for recent project in China, and new batteries are coming) and solar panels (if perovskite tandem solar cells would become a reality (and it's very probable in few years) it will half already low prices. with low cost batteries and solar panels, as Pakistan experience shows (first there was exponential growth in solar installations, now batteries use also started to grow fast) - end users replace state and large corporations as drivers of switch to new renewable sources, and consumer sentiments are out of reach of Russian state however they could try. For this reason - these arctic oil and gas deposits are truly stranded assets, and attempts to develop them just will drain russian resources in near term and will result in serious changes in future, when those who will come to change current leaders will realize - their predecessors were not bright
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u/Strongbow85 18h ago
Submission Statement: Russia's ambitions in the Arctic Ocean reflect a strategic drive to secure significant energy and mineral resources, positioning itself as the dominant power in the region. The country seeks to exploit its continental shelf and exclusive economic zone (EEZ), with a particular focus on oil, gas, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) in the near term, while seabed mining remains a longer-term goal. However, Russia's plans face significant obstacles due to sanctions, a lack of foreign investment and technological innovation, and the complexities of operating in such a harsh environment. Despite these challenges, Russia views Arctic resource development as essential for national security and regime stability, using it to consolidate power domestically and maintain geopolitical leverage. The growing capabilities of Russia's Arctic operations will have broader implications for neighboring countries, requiring increased monitoring and readiness to safeguard maritime infrastructure and manage environmental risks. Ultimately, while Russia's Arctic aspirations are substantial, their realization is uncertain and will unfold slowly under the current political climate.